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Submitted by: Maxim Clark
One of the most significant things you can do to increase you chances of winning at sports betting is eliminate emotions. By detaching yourself emotionally from the game you re betting on you will be able to make better fact based sports picks and your position on the outcome will be unbiased. One method you can use is mathematics. In numbers there is no bias or emotion, meaning that it is what it is and facts are facts. When using numbers as a tool for choosing your sports picks even a slight variance will give you better than 50/50 odds on an even bet.
There are several things you can look at when basing your sports picks on numbers. Here are few basic tips to help get you started:
1.Identify trends in the sport you re betting on When looking at season performance is it reasonable to look at the all of the games for the year? Or the last 20 or 30? I good gauge in team sports is monitoring the performance of the most recent 4-6 games played. In this range you will notice that streaks are identifiable as well as peaks and valleys in terms of scoring. Most team sports have hot and cold patches and you re more likely to ride the waves in this area.
2.Favorites & Underdogs covering the spread Keep track of number of times favorites and underdogs cover the spread. While the overall percentage will be slight from one another as the season progresses you will still have a better than 50% chance. In the world of sports betting every percentage point counts especially when a spread bet breaks even at 0.550 on even odds.
3.Home & Visitors covering the spread – Track the number of times home and visiting teams cover the spread. Using these results in combination with favorites and underdogs covering the spread will give you a good indication which way you should lean.
4.Home & Visitor win straight up Track the number of games won by home and visiting teams and cross-reference this number with the numbers from 2 & 3 on this list. The relation will give you an indication of who may or may not win outright. As well, check goals for and against during the last 4-6 games as this is a strong gauge regarding the offensive or defensive trend each team is experiencing.
5.Review last 4-6 games for trends Once you ve determined a straight up winner look at each team s last 4-6 games and see how many times they ve covered or not covered the spread. How many times has the home team covered during this period? How many times has the visiting team covered? How many times has the team you deemed to be the winner covered? How many times has the loser? What s the percentage based on these facts combined with the other items outlined on the list?
6.Playing totals When playing totals be sure to track the number of games that go over and under throughout the season. Look at the last 4-6 games for each team and determine how many times their games have went over or under the day s line. Be sure to weigh the winning team heavier in your decision. Does the winning team win their games with strong offence or defense? Does the winning team score more points on the road or at home? Is the losing team strong on offence or defense? At home or on the road?
Complete your analysis using percentages and compare all of the information you have. Once you ve done so you can make a logical fact-based decision.
With sports betting, events can go either way no matter how much quantifiable information you have. Upsets happen as do unexplainable events. That s the fun of sports. The process outlined here is a tool that can be used alone or in combination with your current system or completely disregarded. Remember though, the whole idea in the world of sports gambling is to gain an edge no matter how little or small it may be.
About the Author: Get free daily and weekly sports picks at Wildcapper Sports Picks.(
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) Wildcapper sports picks offers free sports picks for the days sporting events. Designed for the sports enthusiast, Wildcapper covers the NFL, NBA, NCAA, MLB and NHL.
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